21 April 2009
An Obscenely Premature Prediction for 2012
Okay, so here's how I figure. Barring unforseen circumstances, voters are likely going to give the President a wide berth, so that'll carry over well. And since he's more popular now than he was during the election, states that almost paid off for him in '08 will come through, like Montana and Georgia, especially considering the weak field of challengers.
The real wild card is Kentucky. Though the more mountainous counties were part of the racist belt last time around, populated areas like Louisville and Lexington skewed more liberal than in the past.
~MP~
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